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Predicting Forced Population Displacement Using News Articles

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Author :  Sadra Abrishamkar and Forouq Khonsari

Affiliation :  York University

Country :  Canada

Category :  Machine Learning

Volume, Issue, Month, Year :  6, 1, March, 2019

Abstract :


The world has witnessed mass forced population displacement across the globe. Pop- ulation displacement has various indications, with different social and policy consequences. Mitigation of the humanitarian crisis requires tracking and predicting the population movements to allocate the necessary resources and inform the policymakers. The set of events that triggers pop-ulation movements can be traced in the news articles. In this paper, we propose the Population Displacement-Signal Extraction Framework (PD-SEF) to explore a large news corpus and extract the signals of forced population displacement. PD-SEF measures and evaluates violence signals, which is a critical factor of forced displacement from it. Following signal extraction, we propose a displacement prediction model based on extracted violence scores. Experimental results indicate the effectiveness of our framework in extracting high quality violence scores and building accurate prediction models.

Keyword :  Topic Modeling, Classification, Humanitarian Signal Extraction

Journal/ Proceedings Name :  Machine Learning and Applications: An International Journal (MLAIJ)

URL :  https://aircconline.com/mlaij/V6N1/6119mlaij01.pdf

User Name : MLAIJ
Posted 29-01-2025 on 17:52:11 AEDT



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